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How 'flattening the curve' will help slow the spread of coronavirus

flatten the curve.JPG
Posted at 11:57 AM, Mar 14, 2020
and last updated 2020-03-14 16:14:07-04

According to health experts, there’s a reason why closures are important right now. It’s what epidemiologists call “flattening the curve.”

Coronavirus - Complete Coverage

You likely have seen this image circulating from the CDC:

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The idea is, without protective measures like social distancing, the United States could see a spike in coronavirus cases. That could overwhelm our healthcare system and lead to more deaths. With protective measures, like Tampa Bay’s growing list of canceled/postponed events, cases will be more spread out over time and stay within our health care system capacity.

Retired Brigadier General Michael McDaniel, who most recently served as Deputy Assistant Secretary for Homeland Defense Strategy, Prevention and Mission Assurance, said flattening the curve means our public health community will be able to respond to the coronavirus cases.

We’ll have enough hospital beds, we’ll have enough ventilators, we’ll have enough respirators,” said McDaniel, now an associate dean at Western Michigan University Cooley Law School. “So that we can adequately respond to this and that will lower the lethality all by itself.”

Director of National Intelligence warned Congress last year about danger of large-scale outbreak

On Thursday, Dr. Douglas Holt, director of the Hillsborough County Health Department, told city and county leaders

“Essentially what we’re trying to do is take the fuel away from the fire. If COVID-19 is already present in the community, and you have a large event, it just can explode,” said Holt.

Coronavirus closings and cancellations in the Tampa Bay area

Health experts say social distancing may not change the total number of people infected, but emphasize it will slow down the rate of people getting sick at any one particular time — to avoid a flood of patients into hospitals.