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New forecasting COVID-19 model estimates Florida will have more than 7,000 deaths by August

Up to 170 people a day could die at peak
Posted at 6:25 PM, Apr 01, 2020
and last updated 2020-04-01 18:25:20-04

FLORIDA — There are dire predictions from a new coronavirus forecasting model which estimates Florida is still a month away from its peak.

These predictions as of Wednesday afternoon come from a research center at the University of Washington. They estimate that by May 2, Florida could see more than 170 deaths per day from COVID-19.

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It shows ranges which include best and worst case scenarios based on the new social distancing policies.

Total deaths nationwide are predicted to hit more than 93,000 by early August. These predictions show the United States with an estimated shortage of 84,000 hospital beds and 18,000 ICU beds.

The good news is that Florida, according to this model as of Wednesday afternoon, is not predicted to run out of hospital beds, but could have a shortage of about 900 ICU beds.

Statewide, about 7,000 people could die from COVID-19 over the next four months, with more than 170 dying a day at the peak of the outbreak on May 2.

In New York, that peak is expected to come by April 10 when the model predicts 845 deaths per day there and a shortage of tens of thousands of hospital and ICU beds.

This model is updated regularly as more data is added by state health departments.

It will change over time as more data is added and more parts of the country implement social distancing and other restrictions.

To see the model, click here.

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