MIAMI - An area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico has strong chance of becoming a tropical depression within the next few days. A hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate later today.
The disturbance could produce life-threatening floods and mudslides over eastern and southern Mexico which was recently impacted by Hurricane Ingrid.
The system is moving to the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. Forecasters say it has a 7- to 80 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next five days.
If the system becomes a storm, it will be named Jerry.
Another system located between the Bahamas and Bermuda has only a 10 percent chance of developing into a cyclone.
For the Tampa Bay area, a frontal system to our north combined with a wind shift that taps into an area of tropical moisture in the Gulf will bring high chances for widespread soaking rains.
This wet trend may begin late on Sunday and continue into early next week.