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Hurricane season prediction: Average

Reported by: Bill Logan
Email: blogan@wfts.com
Last Update: 4/07 8:34 pm
(Getty Images)
(Getty Images)
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TAMPA, FL -- We may not be able to breathe a sigh of relief yet -- but at least one hurricane expert is saying we'll see less of them this year.

Hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University have scaled back their prediction for the Atlantic and are now calling for an average season with 12 named storms, including six hurricanes, two of them major.

In December, renowned researcher Dr. William Gray -- along with his colleague Phil Klotzbach -- predicted an above-average season with 14 named storms with seven hurricanes - three major.

Gray said Tuesday the forecast was dialed down because of improved chances of El Nino conditions, which suppress hurricane formation.

This is Gray's 26th year of forecasting hurricanes. His predictions are watched closely by emergency responders and others, but many say long-range forecasts have little practical value beyond focusing public attention on the dangers.

The season runs June 1 - November 30.

 





2009 Accu-Weather Handbook

Tornado Safety Information

According to the National Hurricane Center, hurricanes can also produce tornadoes that add to the storm's destructive power. Tornadoes are most likely to occur in the right-front quadrant of the hurricane. However, they are also often found elsewhere embedded in the rainbands, well away from the center of the hurricane.

Fujita Scale
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